Nate Silver Quotes

Nate Silver
Nate Silver
American Writer
Born: Jan 13, 1978
Good Lot More People Think You
Related authors: Dale Carnegie Denis Waitley Dr. Seuss H. L. Mencken Napoleon Hill Ray Bradbury W. E. B. Du Bois William Arthur Ward
By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. Nate Silver
You Learning Thought Speed Kind Develop Learning Curve Up Artificially Curve Processes Your Games Right Playing Playing Games Right Kind
Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. Nate Silver
Overcome Walk Tough High Rate Area Most Improve Pitcher Which Room
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. Nate Silver
Time Good Human Being Endeavor High-Quality Put Name Make Sure Human Being Choices
I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. Nate Silver
Too Tricky Trying Anything
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. Nate Silver
Time Good You Better Will Good Time Think Market Markets Would Prone Direction More Fact Except Invest Toward Well Makes How Opposite Opposite Direction Up Historically Stock Stock Market Expect Stocks American Goes Going Just Poll In Fact Decline Ask Actually
Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. Nate Silver
Way Perceive Well Accuracy Different Really Different Things Things Two
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. Nate Silver
Politics People Build One Thing Off Getting Reputations Whole Right Thing
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. Nate Silver
Success People How Still Ephemeral Success Is Appreciate
You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. Nate Silver
You Treat Person Any Want
I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. Nate Silver
Politics Competition Looking Pretty Something Data Like Discovered Lot Where Low Baseball
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. Nate Silver
Believe Recognized He Caesar Him Applied
We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. Nate Silver
Become Must More Uncertainty Comfortable Probability
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. Nate Silver
You Yourself Looking Own TV Boring Data Only Bubble Fits Gets Agenda Then Your Keeping Watching
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. Nate Silver
Good You Financial Example Build Situation Type Respects Statistical Arbitrary Pretty New For Example Instrument Well Dealing Making Lot Model Then Choices
Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. Nate Silver
Luxury Before Books Press Printing Printing Press Were Item Basically
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. Nate Silver
Buy Once Paper Week New Version Times York Maybe New York New York Times Twice Twice A Week Actually
If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. Nate Silver
You Taking Snapshot Get Representative Sample
A lot of things can't be modeled very well. Nate Silver
Well Lot Very Modeled Things
Voters memories will fade some. Nate Silver
Memories Will Some Fade Voters
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. Nate Silver
Funny Big Judgment Funny Things Some Data Human Happen Things Intersect
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. Nate Silver
You System Forecast Trying Same Influence Want
You get steely nerves playing poker. Nate Silver
You Nerves Steely Poker Get Playing
On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. Nate Silver
People Willing See Data More Around Skeptical Average Themselves Average People Should Play Numbers
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. Nate Silver
People Control Think Our Our Lives Feel Over Like Really Lives Things
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. Nate Silver
You People Degree Sense Chaos Ways Complex System Almost Between Economy American American Economy Whenever Interactions Literal Dynamic Really Acting Theory Million Million People
The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. Nate Silver
Good People Correlate Kind Well Making Very Expertise Predictions Capital Actually Thing Associate
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