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Edgar Fiedler Quotes
Edgar Fiedler Quotes
Edgar Fiedler
American
Economist
Born:
Apr 21
,
1929
Died:
Mar 15
,
2003
Business
Economic
Forecast
Often
Sense
You
Related authors:
Alan Greenspan
Herbert A. Simon
John Kenneth Galbraith
Milton Friedman
Paul A. Volcker
Richard Thaler
Robert Reich
Thomas Sowell
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers.
Edgar Fiedler
Business
Sheep
Herd
Independent
Instinct
Like
Look
Makes
Among
Thinkers
To qualify as a recession, economic activity must decline in an absolute sense; a mere slowdown in real growth is not enough.
Edgar Fiedler
Sense
Recession
Enough
Must
Economic
Economic Activity
Absolute
Mere
Qualify
Real
Decline
Activity
Growth
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
Edgar Fiedler
Good
Business
Easy
Idea
Know
Forecast
Surely
Sounds
Going
Cycle
Reasonable
Good Idea
For economist the real world is often a special case.
Edgar Fiedler
World
Case
Economist
Real
Often
The Real World
Real World
Special
If a proposal doesn't prove out as expected when we run it, sometimes we change the model.
Edgar Fiedler
Change
Sometimes
Out
Run
Proposal
Prove
Model
Expected
Experience shows that a recession is never the result of just a few large industries dragging the economy down while the others continue to expand.
Edgar Fiedler
Experience
Result
Few
Down
Recession
Others
Never
Economy
Industries
Continue
Expand
Just
While
Large
Shows
Dragging
No one can escape the iron rule that once you make a forecast, you know you're going to be wrong; you just don't know when and in which direction!
Edgar Fiedler
You
Once
Rule
Direction
No-One
Wrong
Know
Make
Forecast
Escape
Iron
Going
Just
Which
We're not very good at forecasting, and we don't know how to measure the impact of economic policy.
Edgar Fiedler
Good
Impact
Economic
Economic Policy
Know
Policy
Forecasting
How
Very
Measure
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