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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Quotes
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Quotes
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
American
Educator
Born:
Nov 24
,
1946
Depend
Good
People
Power
Predict
You
Related authors:
Bill Nye
Booker T. Washington
Horace Mann
John W. Gardner
Michael Pollan
Michael Porter
Temple Grandin
Timothy Leary
If you're running a dictatorship, you don't really have to worry about the welfare or the property rights of the ordinary citizen. Only the people who keep you in power, a very small group, matter.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
You
Property
Rights
People
Welfare
Matter
Dictatorship
Citizen
Power
Group
Worry
Running
About
Only
Small
Property Rights
Small Group
Very
Ordinary
Ordinary Citizen
Really
Who
Keep
Dictators, unlike Democrats, depend on a small coterie to sustain their power. These backers, generally drawn from the military, the senior civil service, and family or clan members, have a synergistic relationship with their dictator. The dictator delivers opportunities for them to become rich, and they protect him from being overthrown.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Service
Family
Relationship
Opportunities
Power
Become
Depend
Rich
Military
Unlike
Drawn
Clan
Members
Civil
Civil Service
Small
Generally
Protect
Him
Democrats
Overthrown
Dictator
Dictators
Senior
Being
Sustain
Them
There is an interesting interplay between power corrupting and corruption empowering. The causality does not go one way.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Corruption
Power
Way
One-Way
Between
Empowering
Does
Causality
Go
Interesting
To understand why dictators fall, it helps to recognise factors that produce a perfect anti-dictatorial storm. Barring missteps such as those that led to Gaddafi's undoing, a dictator's survival can be at risk because of newness in office, poor health, or old age combined with economic trouble.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Health
Survival
Age
Old
Trouble
Fall
Old Age
Those
Recognise
Risk
Economic
Perfect
Factors
Combined
Because
Understand
Led
Undoing
Dictator
Dictators
Office
Gaddafi
Storm
Newness
Poor
Poor Health
Produce
Helps
Why
In order to predict effectively, we need to use science. And the reason that we need to use science is because then we can reproduce what we're doing; it's not just wisdom or guesswork. And if we can predict, then we can engineer the future.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Wisdom
Future
Science
Engineer
Predict
Because
Doing
Effectively
Just
Order
Reproduce
Then
Use
Reason
Need
I'm not engaged in predicting random number generators. I actually get phone calls from people who want to know what lottery numbers are going to win. I don't have a clue.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
People
Phone
Win
Random
Phone Calls
Generator
Know
Calls
Lottery
Get
Going
Want
Predicting
Clue
Engaged
Who
Actually
Number
Numbers
I engage in the use of game theory. Game theory is a branch of mathematics, and that means, sorry, that even in the study of politics, math has come into the picture. We can no longer pretend that we just speculate about politics; we need to look at this in a rigorous way.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Politics
Mathematics
Game
Picture
Sorry
Way
Rigorous
Pretend
About
Study
Longer
Come
Look
Math
Branch
Just
Engage
Means
Use
Theory
Even
Speculate
Need
There are lots of people shaping decisions, and so if we want to predict correctly, we have to pay attention to everybody who is trying to shape the outcome, not just the people at the pinnacle of the decision-making pyramid.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
People
Predict
Pay
Pay Attention
Everybody
Correctly
Outcome
Shape
Shaping
Attention
Pyramid
Pinnacle
Lots
Trying
Just
Want
Decision-Making
Decisions
Who
I'm not an Iran expert.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Iran
Expert
We really can't tell the difference between people who might seek power for some greater good and people who seek power just to aggrandize themselves. For example, all revolutionaries say that they want to uplift the downtrodden.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Good
People
Example
Power
Say
Tell
Some
Seek
Between
For Example
Greater
Greater Good
Revolutionaries
Uplift
Just
Difference
Want
Might
Themselves
Really
Who
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