9 Herman Kahn Quotes for You to Enjoy

Herman Kahn

American Scientist

Born: Feb 15, 1922

Died: Jul 7, 1983

Against People Thinking War Will World

Related authors: Ben Carson Carl Sagan E. O. Wilson George Washington Carver Isaac Asimov Margaret Mead Neil deGrasse Tyson W. Edwards Deming

Failures of perspective in decision-making can be due to aspects of the social utility paradox, but more often result from simple mistakes caused by inadequate thought. Herman Kahn

Simple Result Perspective Thought Mistakes Paradox More Failures Due Caused Often Decision-Making Inadequate Social Aspects Utility

For some years I have spent my time on exactly these questions - both in thinking about ways to prevent war, and in thinking about how to fight, survive, and terminate a war, should it occur. Herman Kahn

War Time Fight Thinking Spent Ways Exactly Some About Prevent My Time Both Terminate How Occur Years Questions Survive Should

Many people believe that the current system must inevitably end in total annihilation. They reject, sometimes very emotionally, any attempts to analyze this notion. Herman Kahn

People Sometimes Believe Analyze System Must Total Attempts Emotionally Annihilation Inevitably End Very Current Any Notion Many Reject

To the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of commerce, perhaps for peaceful uses as in the Plowshare program, their cost would be well within the resources available to many large private organizations. Herman Kahn

My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, but that their use is much more likely to be small and limited than widespread and unconstrained. Herman Kahn

Will Guess Hundred Hundred Years Weapons More Small Sometime Likely Limited Years Than Much Next Use Used Nuclear Nuclear Weapons Widespread

Anything that reduces war-related destruction should not be considered altogether immoral. Herman Kahn

Destruction Considered Immoral Altogether Anything Should

From a scientific perspective there is some indication that a nuclear war could deplete the earth's ozone layer or, less likely, could bring on a new Ice Age - but there is no suggestion that either the created order or mankind would be destroyed in the process. Herman Kahn

War Age Perspective Earth Destroyed Would Would-Be Indication Some Layer Could New Likely Scientific Order Ozone Process Either Ice Ice Age Mankind Created Less Nuclear Nuclear War Bring Suggestion

Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as the first and best place to get resources for social welfare needs. Herman Kahn

Best Needs Welfare First Military Think Defense Defense Budget Programs Resources Those Only Budget Opposed Get Place Social Who Social Welfare

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